en
Joosr

A Joosr Guide to… Superforecasting by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner

Beri tahu saya ketika buku ditambahkan
Untuk membaca buku ini unggah file EPUB atau FB2 ke Bookmate. Bagaimana cara mengunggah buku?
In today's fast-paced world, it's tough to find the time to read. But with Joosr guides, you can get the key insights from bestselling non-fiction titles in less than 20 minutes. Whether you want to gain knowledge on the go or find the books you'll love, Joosr's brief and accessible eBook summaries fit into your life. Find out more at joosr.com.

We all make forecasts in our daily lives, whether we're investing in the stock market or simply planning our weekly food shop. These forecasts shape our future, but unfortunately we aren't very good at making them. So what can we do to improve our predictive abilities?

Superforecasting reveals the predictive skills you need to make more accurate forecasts and how to hone in on these skills, using them to your advantage in your daily life. Anyone can predict the future-we just need to learn from the experts: the superforecasters.

You will learn:

· What makes a good superforecaster

· The common mistakes people make when trying to make a prediction

· How to harness the power of the superforecasters.
Buku ini saat ini tidak tersedia
19 halaman cetak
Tahun publikasi
2016
Sudahkah Anda membacanya? Bagaimanakah menurut Anda?
👍👎

Kutipan

  • Irina Gosselinkmembuat kutipan5 tahun yang lalu
    Most of the tasks we complete in life are learned through a similar technique: try, fail, analyze, adjust, try again.
  • Irina Gosselinkmembuat kutipan5 tahun yang lalu
    This approach works well in any scenario: simply consider the average, then adjust it according to any additional or unique information that you have.
  • Irina Gosselinkmembuat kutipan5 tahun yang lalu
    Whenever you make a prediction, always remember that no event or situation is entirely unique.

Di rak buku

fb2epub
Seret dan letakkan file Anda (maksimal 5 sekaligus)