The Black Swan

The human mind creates the illusion of understanding things that are too complex for it to grasp, making chaotic events seem orderly and predictable in retrospect, and overvaluing neat classifications. Taleb calls this Platonifying, after the Greek philosopher Plato.
Analysis
Platonifying is the practice of assigning simple causes and classifications to complex events

By definition, Black Swans are impossible to predict, but they can be imagined