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Eliezer Yudkowsky

Inadequate Equilibria: Where and How Civilizations Get Stuck

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Kutipan

  • Nickmembuat kutipan3 tahun yang lalu
    Robin Hanson has old Overcoming Bias blog posts on that untaken, low-hanging fruit.
  • Nickmembuat kutipan3 tahun yang lalu
    Then why don’t you just walk up to the decision-maker and tell them about the bias? Because they wouldn’t have any way of knowing to trust you rather than the other five hundred people trying to influence their decisions? Well, in that case, you’re holding information that they can’t learn from you! So that’s an “asymmetric information problem,” in much the same way that it’s an asymmetric information problem when you’re trying to sell a used car and you know it doesn’t have any mechanical problems, but you have no way of reliably conveying this knowledge to the buyer because for all they know you could be lying.
  • Nickmembuat kutipan3 tahun yang lalu
    Cases where the decision lies in the hands of people who would gain little personally, or lose out personally, if they did what was necessary to help someone else;

    Cases where decision-makers can’t reliably learn the information they need to make decisions, even though someone else has that information; and

    Systems that are broken in multiple places so that no one actor can make them better, even though, in principle, some magically coordinated action could move to a new stable state.
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